Vaccines: 95% effective? Maybe. But what's the actual risk reduction of suffering from Covid-19?

When the headlines tell you how effective these experimental biological agents are, they use the relative risk calculation. For example, in one of Pfizer's study groups, 160 of the placebo group got Covid, versus only 8 of the vaccinated group. Yup, that's around 95% less of the vaccinated group getting infected. That's the relative risk:

Screenshot source: The Highwire, Ep.217

But let's put it into context. The study groups (vaccinated and placebo) had 21,724 participants in each. 160 infections in the placebo group is 0.8%. 8 infections in the vaccinated group is 0.04%. The difference between the two is 0.76%.

So, we have a risk reduction in terms of absolute risk of 0.76%:

Screenshot source: The Highwire, Ep.217

And bear in mind that they didn't start collecting data on symptoms and positive tests in the vaccinated group until two weeks after the second jab, meaning that if the study participants had adverse reactions before that - like fever, chills, headaches (you know, all the stuff that sounds like a nasty dose of Covid) - it wasn't taken into account. And given that a fairly sizeable proportion of vaccinated individuals since then have reported that type of side-effect, it's likely that WAY more than 160 of the 21,724 got a nasty post-jab flu-like illness....which the placebo groups wouldn't have got. But that wouldn't have been very convenient for Pfizer to report, so they didn't.

And here's a thing. The latest Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry (ABPI) Code of Practice states:

(ABPI Code of Practice, 2021 - p.15, 'Clause 6 supplementary information')

Moving on.... Based on the likelihood of infection and the effectiveness of the Pfizer jab, as per their study, you can calculate how many people need to be vaccinated to prevent just one Covid infection:

Screenshot source: The Highwire, Ep.217

Statistically, 131 out of every 132 people jabbed wouldn't have got Covid anyway, so by having the jab, they're taking all of the risk for no reward. And the younger and healthier you are, the lower the risk of suffering from Covid and therefore the higher the relative risk of vaccine injury.

In short, you have a very, very slim chance of suffering from Covid and the jab will reduce that very, very slim chance by 0.76%. And even if you do get it, just look at the survival rates:

Now look at all the adverse reactions and deaths being reported to the Yellow Card scheme in the UK, VAERS in the USA and in the media all over the world. Check out the headline figures for the UK that are updated weekly on this site - and remember that they're likely to be somewhere between 1% and 10% of the actual number:

If, after doing some risk/reward analysis, you still want to take that jab, go ahead. But if you're under 65 and don't have any pre-existing health conditions, I think it's an insane choice.